This year’s overall climate is expected to be the southern child -scilation (Enso) neutral destroy of the monozonic period | Photo credit: Thulasi Kakkat
The southwest monsoon is “more likely” that it is above normal, or 104 percent of the average long -term periods this year, June to September, said M Ravicandran, secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences.
“It is expected that the average seasonal precipitation, quantitatively, is 105 percent of the average long period, with a margin of more or less five percent,” he told the annual press conference on the Department of Meteorology of India. Forecast forecast prognosis prognosis prognosis.
The rain will exceed the normal seasonal average of 87 cm, he said. However, Ladakh, the Northeast and Tamil Nadu, are expected to receive rainfall below the average.
This year’s overall climate is expected to be the southern child-darkness (Enso) neutral deling the monzón. It is likely that the Dipolo of the Indian Ocean also remains neutral, said Ravichandran.
Probability
The private climate forecast leader Skymet predicted last week that the country would have a normal monzón in the next season with 103 percent of the average of long periods (LPA), with a margin of error of +/- 5 percent
Maryunjay Mohapatra, general director of IMD, said there is a possibility of 26 percent of excess rain and a probability of 33 percent rain above normal. A two percent laconity or a poor rain effectively rules out the possibility of a poor monsoon. The probability of normal rain is 30 percent.
Posted on April 15, 2025
