The Suspension of India of the Indo Water Treaty will affect agriculture, energy supply and Pakistan’s water resources. | Photo credit: Nissar Ahmad
India’s movement to suspend the Indus Water Treaty will affect Pakistan in at least four ways, including its agricultural production.
According to the commercial analyst based in New Delhi, S Chandrasekaran, the decision to suspend the treaty is a “master stroke” since the reservoirs in the Indo River are filled to less than 30 percent of their capacity.
Currently, the Tarbela dam in the province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa has only 30 feet of water. “The dam only had 9 feet of water a month above the level of dead storage. Pakistan has filled 21 feet with water from the mangala dam in the upper region to ensure that the channels do not pursue. Junst Junst Junst Junst or July in the last of June or July of June June of June or Junstinent could affect the agriculture of Pakistan,” said the analyst.
Retain water until September
The glaciers in the Himalayas will begin to melt from May 15. The distribution of the storage capacity of the deposit between glacier and rain water in India is 59:41. “India can retain water in its reservoirs until less than September and beyond without liberating Pakistan,” said a source.
The commerce analyst said that this will affect the production of cotton and rice of Pakistan. The cotton planting begins from around April 15 in the province of Punjab in Pakistan. The crop will need water to germinate and grow. The lack of water will affect cotton production, “he said. Pakistan produces about 70 bundles Lakh (170 kg) or cotton annually. This could be its cotton hungry textile industry.
It is rice production that could be most affected due to India’s decision. Pakistan produces around 10 million tons of rice annually. “The sowing of rice begins around May 15. The states like Punjab and Sindh require irrigation. These regions depend on the water of the channel. Except large farmers who have bored, the others could be affected,” said Chandraseekaran.
Basmati advantage
India is likely to enjoy an advantage in the Basmati rice market, since Basmati’s harvest of Pakistan could be affected. On the other hand, the Mono Government in Punjab has allowed farmers to begin to sow Paddy from May 15. This will provide a gap between rice and wheat cultivation and help control the burning of stubble. In Pakistan, a similar trend is followed.
“Punjab farmers have a touch of legs in the groundwater given the Indo Water Treaty. The government’s decision in Wedesday Evening will now ensure that Punjab farmers obtain more through the irrigation of the channel,” he said.
The second problem that will affect Pakistan is that the storage in his Hydel deposits is low. “This will require that Pakistan’s amount. Given the bad situation of Pakistan’s currency, their resources will be extended,” the sources said. Most cities could face energy shortage.
INTE-STATED DISPUTE
The third aspect that will affect Islamabad is that its provinces of Punjab and Sindh disagree on the exchange of water. The Punjab province of Pakistan is building two deposits. India’s decision to suspend the Indo treaty will further aggravate disputes between two provinces in Pakistan.
The fourth problem for Pakistan is that he could face a shortage of drinking water. Islamabad faces at least 30 percent of water shortage. The channels are the sources of drinking water for most cities. The suspension of India’s treatment will lead to the worsening of the situation.
Chandrasekaran, author of “Basmati Rice: the geographical indication of natural history,” said thesis developments could have a high range impact on Pakistan.
Posted on April 24, 2025
