How the India-Pakistan Clashes Unfolded and What We Know About the Cease-Fire

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India and Pakistan claimed the victory on Sunday after accepting a truce in a conflict that grew rapidly that was caused by a mortal terrorist attack on the Indian side of Kashmir last month, increasing the Conerns.

India, blaming the April 22 attack on Pakistan’s story to take refuge terrorist groups, launched air attacks across the border, with Pakistan responding in a child. The clashes intensified rapidly, and both countries got more into the territory of the other than at any time in the last 50 years.

On Saturday, President Trump announced that the two parties had agreed to stop the fire with the help of US mediators and, like the first full day of the fragile truce seemed to stay on Sunday, congratulated them for stopping the aggression. While the damage will take weeks and months to count, especially in a media blackout space and extreme misinformation, this is what we know about how clashes develop.

The first shots

In its first round of air attacks, before Wednesday’s dawn, India reached the deepest objectives within the enemy territory than in decades, and in all accounts it arrived close enough for the facilities associated with the claim of the terrorist group.

It quickly became evident, he thought it had not been a clean attack, but rather a prolonged commitment between the two air forces: the planes on each side go in the other, with the boundary between them as a line that Neior crossed. And India lost airplanes in exchanges, including at least two or its most advanced combat planes. Indian officials have refused to comment on the details of the loss of their plane, but have not rejected the reports that they lost airplanes.

The cost of strikes was contradictory. India Defense Minister told a parliamentary conference that they had killed “100 terrorists.” Pakistan put the death toll from the initial strikes of India around 30.

The scales

The second day, as a diplomatic impulse for intensified disaster, India said he had frustrated a Pakistani attempt during the night of hitting military objectives in the boxes of the border cities and towns. In response, he had tasks of the son of action that analysts say that he almost always intensifies a conflict: he hit sensitive military objectives, particularly air defense systems in the Pakistani city of Lahore.

“A movement like that is quite striding and would have worried the Pakistani forces, because in other contexts, eliminating aerial defenses is a prelude to a more serious action,” said Kim Heriot-Darragh, strategic and defense analyst in Austia Eastia. “You warehouse defenses to open a corridor through which airplanes could fly and reach their real goal.”

Diplomats and analysts are not sure how events take place in the morning of Thursday morning, but it is clear that something that had to have changed and was seen as an important change in the climbing pattern. If Pakistan was using a mass of drones and missile raids to try to hit the military sites of India or simply warn India and investigate their air defense systems for something bigger later is an uncle.

While the attention focused on the escalation in the heavens, the intense cross -border bombardment inflicted heavy civil victims and forced tens of thousands of people to leave their homes in Kashmir.

The amazing official response of Pakistan, a complete denial that he had done something in the second night, left two explanations for the events: that it was just a survey mission that Pakistan did not want to distract from the real reprisal that it was.

But, nevertheless, India touched the opportunity to damage the crucial Pakistani military sites, and with that all bets were turned off. Pakistan promised that he would retaliate. The only way in which the climb could be arrested was the way it had always happened: with an exterior current that intervened to tell both parties to eliminate it.

Alarm on strategic sites

On Friday and Saturday nights, the situation quickly became an air war with few retention, but in which land forces had not moved.

Pakistan launched an immense campaign of drone and missile strikes, attacking military bases in several Indian cities, this time with the recognition of the Indian side that, to agglomeration, their aerial defenses had Thwartment and the flood, there was damage. Damage.

Indian officials said Monday that they lost five members of their security forces.

There was evidence, including the satellite images shown by the Indian army, which India had also caused damage to the Pakistani side, attacking aerodromes and more defense systems, and also hitting one of Pakistan’s strategic headquarters. Pakistan’s army first recognized on Tuesday that he had suffered victims, confirming that 11 soldiers had died in the clashes, with another 78 injured.

What alarmed the United States and intensified the diplomatic impulse due to the high fire that was announced on Saturday night, was not only that the two parts were increasing the blows to sensitive sites, but also what the next steps could.

That is ahead

While the scores are still counted and the damage is evaluated, the four days may have fundamentally changed the reality of the conflict in this part of the world towards the war does not contact: barriers from distance to the last stages of the battle, but still lead to climbing and the possible loss of restriction.

The abundance of new general technology, partially cheap drones and ammunition with ammunition, could initially suggest more precision and less human cost. But in this last conflict in India-Pakistan, these technologies still caused a rapid cycle of climbing that led to concerns that the use of nuclear weapons could be put on the table.

Zia Ur-Rehman Contributed to Karachi reports, Pakistan.

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